THE REF REVIEW

Walt Anderson

Referee · 78 games with data, 2015–2019

14.36accepted penalties/game
league 12.26 · above league avg by 17%
123.5penalty yards/game
league 102.3
7.03 / 7.33home / away penalties
league 5.95 / 6.30
0.42declined/game (not counted)
league 0.27; offsetting 0.01

Betting-line results

Favorite against the spread (W-L)40-34
Over-Under-Push vs closing total38-40-0

Outcomes reflect team play; shown for context only. League favorites cover roughly half the time.

Drive interruptions

78 games. Definitions on the methodology page.

MeasureThis crewLeague
Accepted offensive flags on drives with 2+ first downs, per game2.542.43
Same, per 100 drives with 2+ first downs24.623.4
% of those drives ending without points34%41%
% of crew flags in 4th quarter/OT25%26%
% of flags on the play right after a 20+ yd gain3.3%4.0%

Offensive penalties depend on the offense's play. These are descriptive counts, not judgments about any call.

Replay reviews (shown separately)

Replay reviews/challenges per game1.831.35

Mostly initiated by the replay booth or coaches, not the on-field crew.

Drive stalls after offensive flags

78 games · 414 sets of downs with an accepted offensive flag. Method

MeasureThis crewLeague
Sets of downs with an offensive flag that ended in a punt, FG try or turnover on downs54.6%
226 of 414
52.2%
of 14,803
Same, with no offensive flag (baseline)22.2%22.2%
Stalled sets of downs with an offensive flag, per game2.902.47

Offensive penalties are committed by the offense; this describes what followed the flag, not whether the call was right.

Splits

SplitGamesPen/game
Primetime1716.12
Daytime6113.87
Playoffs28.50 small sample
Regular season7614.51

Top penalty types (per game)

TypeThis refLeague
Offensive Holding2.692.40
False Start2.242.22
Defensive Pass Interference1.281.00
Defensive Holding1.040.75
Defensive Offside0.720.57
Neutral Zone Infraction0.640.46
Unnecessary Roughness0.620.66
Roughing the Passer0.580.38
Delay of Game0.510.57
Illegal Block Above the Waist0.510.36

By season

SeasonGamesPen/gameLeague
20151413.4313.44
20161514.6712.99
20171614.1212.80
20181614.5613.03
20191714.8813.01

Crew (2019, most frequent at each position)

By team

TeamGW-LPen on teamPen on opp
ARI62-47.38.7
ATL53-25.88.6
BAL51-48.28.2
BUF43-17.58.0
CAR73-45.96.4
CHI32-16.76.7
CIN32-110.08.7
CLE61-56.27.2
DAL87-17.16.4
DEN41-38.07.2
DET61-55.77.2
GB52-36.88.6
IND75-27.07.9
JAX31-211.76.0
KC86-27.28.0
LA63-35.26.5
LAC51-47.69.0
MIA22-06.08.0
MIN54-17.85.8
NE11-04.05.0
NO72-58.95.6
NYG41-38.56.2
NYJ42-26.84.8
OAK43-18.57.5
PHI32-15.39.0
PIT53-26.89.4
SD20-29.55.0
SEA76-18.35.9
SF53-26.24.4
STL11-05.04.0
TB43-16.59.2
TEN61-56.87.0
WAS50-57.67.6

Most team samples are small; differences are usually noise.